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Week 3 Big 12 picks: Kansas or Georgia Tech? Oklahoma or Florida St.?

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrC8J_WN5TE

After two weeks of picking every Big 12 game here in the Conference Chatter blog, I've come away with a 12-3 record of predicting games straight up, and a 6-5 record of selecting games against the spread.

Here's what in store for week 3:

Friday

Iowa State at Connecticut, 7 p.m.
Line: UConn by 4.5
Pick: vs. line: UConn; straight up: UConn
One-line reason: The Huskies' defense (10th in country in total defense) appears to be considerably ahead of its offense (95th, total offense), and I'm expecting UConn, at home, to create a turnover or two to make it easier on its offense against Iowa State, which is 3-8 on the road the last two years under coach Paul Rhoads.

Saturday

Kansas at Georgia Tech, 11:30 a.m.
Line: Georgia Tech by 14
Pick: vs. line: Kansas; straight up: Georgia Tech
One-line reason: KU's suddenly potent offense (43.5-point average in first two games) keeps the Jayhawks close, but the Yellow Jackets are rather potent themselves (56-point average in first two games, second in country) and should have the revenge factor in their favor for last year's 28-25 loss in Lawrence.

No. 23 Texas at UCLA, 2:30 p.m.
Line: Texas by 4
Pick: vs. line: Texas; straight up: Texas
One-line reason: In an ugly, low-scoring affair, the Longhorns do just enough on offense with their new, two-quarterback system (true freshman David Ash, sophomore Case McCoy) to hold off a UCLA team that struggled to beat San Jose State (27-17) at home last week.

Texas Tech at New Mexico, 2:30 p.m.
Line: Texas Tech by 21
Pick: vs. line: Texas Tech; straight up: Texas Tech
One-line reason: New Mexico has put up only 13 points in two home losses this season.

Stephen F. Austin at No. 19 Baylor, 6 p.m.
Line: n/a
Pick: straight up: Baylor
One-line reason: Stephen F. Austin lost at home to Northern Iowa last week.

Kent State at Kansas State, 6 p.m.
Line: Kansas State by 17.5
Pick: vs. line: Kansas State; straight up: Kansas State
One-line reason: Kent State lost by 41 on the road at Alabama in week 1, and I'm guessing Kansas State can rebound from an embarrassing week 1 (10-7 victory over FCS opponent Eastern Kentucky) and topple the Golden Flashes by at least 18.

Western Illinois at Missouri, 6 p.m.
Line: n/a
Pick: straight up: Missouri
One-line reason: Western Illinois had trouble on the road in week 1 in a 20-6 loss at Sam Houston State.

Idaho at No. 9 Texas A&M, 6 p.m.
Line: Texas A&M by 35.5
Pick: vs. line: Texas A&M; straight up: Texas A&M
One-line reason: Now this will be fun; Idaho lost at home to Bowling Green by 17, and beat North Dakota at home by 30; my guess is the Aggies take this one by 40+.

No. 1 Oklahoma at No. 5 Florida State, 7 p.m.

Line: Oklahoma by 3
Pick: vs. line: Oklahoma; straight up: Oklahoma
One-line reason: In the nation's game of the week, Sooners keep their BCS title hopes alive, and Florida State is introduced to the fact that this isn't Louisiana-Monroe (34-0) or Charleston Southern (62-10).

No. 8 Oklahoma State at Tulsa, 9 p.m.
Line: Oklahoma State by 13.5
Pick: vs. line: Oklahoma State; straight up: Oklahoma State
One-line reason: The Cowboys proved last week they can score in bunches and blow out a decent team (Arizona); OSU's average margin of victory in its first two games was 25 points.

That should be all for now, friends. As always, discuss.

Comments

tolawdjk 10 years, 11 months ago

I want to be wrong here. I really do. And I think this week will be key to the season for KU, but I think they fall against the line as well.

Don't want them to. Would -love- to be wrong. But if I had money to put, it would be KU falling short here. The offense has shown it can score, I'm just not sold on the defense yet.

pepper_bar 10 years, 11 months ago

Here are the lines for the games for which Eric doesn't think there's a line:

Western Illinois at Missouri (-30.5) SFA at Baylor (-23.5)

Steve Jacob 10 years, 11 months ago

Anyone notice SFA put up 82 the opening game?

Eric Sorrentino 10 years, 11 months ago

haha, that was bizarre. It was against McMurry University, 82-6. McMurry apparently is a Div. III school in Texas. Better believe I had to Wiki that one.

Eric Sorrentino 10 years, 11 months ago

Thanks for posting. I use the Latest Line that appears in the Journal-World, and they don't list FBS vs. FCS matchups. Any thoughts on those two spreads?

pepper_bar 10 years, 11 months ago

My gut says Missouri's angry and pummels Western Illinois. Baylor also has something to prove. I like both home teams to beat their spreads. (I'll acknowledge that FBS v FCS spreads are a total crapshoot since you never know when the FBS team will call off the dogs and put in the scrubs.)

gardenjay 10 years, 11 months ago

Our offense is very potent as well. I think our defense will show, I just hope enough recovery has occurred. I predict another KU win. RCJH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

haydenhawkco 10 years, 11 months ago

This would be a good win for the defense. They have just been porous in the first 2 games and Hill is a talented WR. However, GT is focused around the run. I'm looking forward to finally getting a chance to watch them play.

Steve Jacob 10 years, 11 months ago

Bonus pick....Mayweather over Ortiz, but no way I'd lay 7 to 1 odds on it. I am rooting for Ortiz, just for the big payday he would get for getting beat up by Manny Pacquiao.

jayhawkintx73 10 years, 11 months ago

If KU didn't show that they had the ability to stop the option a year ago, I'd say they don't have a chance. But they do, and here it is.

Kansas 51 Georgia Tech 44

texashawk10 10 years, 11 months ago

I'm surprised the consensus on the total points for KU/GT is only 61 points. I would venture to guess 80+ is scored in that one.

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