Reseeding and Vegas odds reveal wide open NCAA Tournament

By Matt Tait     Mar 19, 2018

Kansas guard Devonte' Graham slaps hands with fans as he leaves the court following the Jayhawks' win, Saturday, March 17, 2018 in Wichita, Kan.

So we’re down to the Sweet 16, with two No. 11 seeds, two No. 9 seeds and two No. 7 seeds for good measure.

Holy smokes!

While just two of the tournament’s No. 1 and No. 2 seeds remain — Kansas and Villanova on the 1 line and Purdue and Duke on the 2 line — it’s certainly anybody’s guess as to who will make it out of this weekend and on to the Final Four in San Antonio.

I absolutely love how the bracket has shaken out thus far. For one, upsets are fun and this past weekend was as wild as I can remember. For two, it’s a great look for the Big 12 Conference that its top four finishers — in both the regular season and the Big 12 tournament — make up 25 percent of the Sweet 16.

And, finally, I think it’s great that the Final Four could end up being something wacky and unexpected like Nevada, Texas Tech, Texas A&M and Clemson or it could take on a blue blood, more-traditional look with Kansas or Duke, Kentucky, Villanova and Michigan all advancing.

Updated odds to win 2018 national championship, per Bovada.lv

Of course, it also could wind up being some combination of the two and that’s what makes the days ahead so much fun.

Regardless of who is playing who or how this team matches up with that team, there is one reality that every team still standing must deal with at this point — every game from here on out is going to be a war.

Forget the fact that Duke is playing No. 11 Syracuse and is a double-digit favorite. Ask Michigan State how that worked out?

Forget the fact that Loyola-Chicago is a super Cinderella or that Kansas State is playing mighty Kentucky and look at the reality for both teams — Loyola has found a way to win two wild games and there’s no reason to think they can’t do it a third time. And K-State won its two games without its best scorer and rebounder. With Dean Wade expected back for the KSU-Kentucky game, Bruce Weber’s squad has a real shot of reaching the next round or beyond.

We’ve still got a couple of days before things get going again, but that hasn’t stopped anyone from breaking this thing down to the Nth degree.

One of the most popular things for college basketball analysts to do this time of year is to reseed things after each break in the action. Sure, Kansas and Villanova remain as the only 1 seeds left, but does that mean they’re the favorites?

Far from it.

According to [Andy Katz, of NCAA.com,][1] and [Myron Medcalf, of ESPN.com,][2] there are at least a few teams who currently qualify as better picks than Kansas to cut down the nets.

So say the folks who setting the betting odds, as well.

According to Bovada.lv, the Jayhawks have just the sixth best odds of winning it all of the 16 teams remaining, at 17/2, with Duke (13/4), Villanova (9/2), Gonzaga (7/1), Kentucky (7/1) and Michigan (8/1) all ahead of them.

As for that whole reseeding thing, that appears to be a little murkier.

Medcalf has the Jayhawks ranked as the 10th best team remaining and Katz lists Kansas as the fourth best team still alive.

Medcalf’s picks are based largely off of how the teams played in the first two rounds and not as much their overall body of work.

**Wrote Medcalf:**

> Bill Self might be approaching his
> most impressive postseason feat. The
> Jayhawks are playing a four-guard
> lineup that works best when Udoka
> Azubuike is healthy and avoiding foul
> trouble. That wasn’t the case Saturday
> against Seton Hall, as he was hindered
> by a sprained MCL and drew his fourth
> foul with 8:53 to play, but Kansas
> still beat Angel Delgado and Seton
> Hall with a strong finish.
>
> On a day when Devonte’ Graham finished
> 1-for-7 from the field, Azubuike
> played only 22 minutes and still had
> 10 points, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks and 2
> steals. Azubuike changed the game in
> limited time. And Kansas continues to
> find a way in challenging
> circumstances.

Katz, meanwhile, believes that KU’s experience has served them well thus far and will continue to do so in the rounds ahead.

**Wrote Katz:**

> The Jayhawks rolled through the Big 12
> tournament and haven’t stopped. Penn
> gave Kansas a game for a spell, but
> then the second gear took over. Seton
> Hall certainly pushed the Jayhawks,
> but Kansas had the look of a champion
> in the final minutes. Experience
> matters at this time of the season and
> the Jayhawks are using theirs to the
> max.

Time will tell how things shake out and we’ll be there every step of the way that the Jayhawks are playing to bring you everything you need from Omaha.

We’ll kick start this week’s coverage with a new KU Sports Hour podcast this afternoon and then start to breakdown [that KU-Clemson matchup,][3] set for 6:07 p.m. Friday on CBS.

So check back with KUsports.com often throughout the week for all of the latest from the Jayhawks’ charge toward San Antonio.

And, if you haven’t taken our latest quiz yet, check it out and enter to win a $25 gift card.

QUIZ: Which current Kansas basketball player are you?

[1]: https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-03-19/sweet-16-ranked-ncaacoms-andy-katz
[2]: http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/22825232/ncaa-tournament-reseeding-sweet-16
[3]: http://www2.kusports.com/news/2018/mar/18/top-seeded-kansas-face-no-5-seed-clemson-friday-ni/

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Written By Matt Tait

A native of Colorado, Matt moved to Lawrence in 1988 and has been in town ever since. He graduated from Lawrence High in 1996 and the University of Kansas in 2000 with a degree in Journalism. After covering KU sports for the University Daily Kansan and Rivals.com, Matt joined the World Company (and later Ogden Publications) in 2001 and has held several positions with the paper and KUsports.com in the past 20+ years. He became the Journal-World Sports Editor in 2018. Throughout his career, Matt has won several local and national awards from both the Associated Press Sports Editors and the Kansas Press Association. In 2021, he was named the Kansas Sportswriter of the Year by the National Sports Media Association. Matt lives in Lawrence with his wife, Allison, and two daughters, Kate and Molly. When he's not covering KU sports, he likes to spend his time playing basketball and golf, listening to and writing music and traveling the world with friends and family.