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Thursday, December 23, 2021

KU veterans Agbaji, Braun leading Jayhawks while raising NBA draft stock

Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) has a laugh with his teammates during a break in action in the second half on Saturday, Dec. 11, 2021, at Allen Fieldhouse.

Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) has a laugh with his teammates during a break in action in the second half on Saturday, Dec. 11, 2021, at Allen Fieldhouse.

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When asked in Boulder, Colorado, to identify KU’s most valuable player through 10 games, Kansas basketball coach Bill Self needed no time to come up with his answer.

“I would say Ochai (Agbaji’s) probably been our best player to date, with CB (Christian Braun) coming in second so far,” Self said. “I think that’s pretty obvious to everyone.”

One of those two KU veterans leads the Jayhawks in seven major statistical categories and the two sit atop KU’s list of scoring leaders thus far, with Agbaji leading the way at 22 points per game and Braun not far behind at 16.8.

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Iona forward Nelly Junior Joseph, left, and guard Elijah Joiner, right, guard against Kansas guard Christian Braun during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Sunday, Nov. 28, 2021, in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (AP Photo/Jacob M. Langston)

While those numbers, along with their leadership and clutch production made those two Jayhawks easy choices for Self, there are others outside of the Kansas basketball circle who have heaped praise on Agbaji and Braun, as well.

One such person is The Athletic’s Sam Vecenie, who covers the NBA draft process as well as anybody, and he believes that Agbaji and Braun have played their way into a little more attention from NBA scouts and general managers.

Last weekend, Vecenie released his list of seven college basketball upperclassmen who have delivered breakout-type seasons so far that have put them firmly in the NBA draft conversation. Both Agbaji and Braun were on that list.

Vecenie called Braun “one of the true breakout players of the season.”

Rather than looking only at Braun’s raw averages — 16.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game on 62.1% shooting — Vecenie went a little deeper and highlighted some of the numbers and skills that might best help Braun transition to the NBA game.

Six of his 16.3 points per game are coming in transition. As Vecenie noted, Braun has made a point of getting out on the break early and his teammates have done a good job of finding him.

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Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) smiles after a three pointer over Stephen F. Austin guard Latrell Jossell (10) during the first half on Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021 at Allen Fieldhouse.

Beyond that, Vecenie pointed out that the junior from Burlington ranks fourth among all wings in college basketball in points off of cuts, averaging 1.5 makes per game off of cuts.

That might not sound like a ton, but that approach has led directly to several of Braun’s highlight-reel dunks and, more importantly, has made him and the Kansas offense more efficient.

“The most translatable skill he’s started to present is the ability to attack more off closeouts,” Vecenie wrote. “Teams are closing out on him hard, and Braun is playing with great bend to make it look like he’s a threat to shoot before attacking.”

So far this season, Braun is shooting 36% from 3-point range, but his attempts are down from where they were at this point a season ago.

The analytics illustrate that clearly. Per KenPom.com, Braun ranks in the top 30 nationally in effective field goal percentage (67.3, 27th), which gives more weight to 3-point makes, true shooting percentage (69.3, 22nd), which also factors in trips to the free throw line, and 2-point field goal percentage (73.1, 15th).

While those numbers and his emphasis on returning to his roots as an attacking offensive weapon, have made him a dynamic college player, Vecenie predicts that Braun’s NBA fu-ture will be tied most to his outside shot.

“Ultimately, Braun’s career will be determined by how elite a level he can get to as a shooter,” Vecenie wrote. “Right now, I see Braun as more of a potential second-rounder. Braun has put himself on the map for scouts in a significant way that they’ll have to pay attention to as Big 12 season rolls on. If Braun can put up a huge Big 12 shooting season, he’ll be a potential 2022 draft guy.”

Agbaji was the first player Vecenie mentioned on his list.

“Ochai Agbaji has been among the players I have been most impressed with in college basketball this season,” Vecenie wrote. “The game has clearly slowed down for Agbaji. He’s more confident and comfortable.”

Much of Vecenie’s praise of the KU senior and one of college basketball’s top scorers comes in comparison to what he was last season.

Like many people, Vecenie has always admired Agbaji’s athleticism, effort and shooting stroke. But now that the 6-foot-5 senior who nearly left KU for the NBA last season has added more layers to his game, Vecenie is downright excited about Agbaji’s NBA future.

“Agbaji, especially out in the semi-break, is making plays with ease with the ball in his hands,” Vecenie wrote. “There is no panic and his footwork is stronger. He’s a professional playing college basketball now. Throw in that he’s a good defender on the wing with the quickness and strength to be able to deal with a variety of different player types, and it’s kind of an easy fit for a modern NBA role.”

Vecenie calls Agbaji “a clear first-rounder on my board” and said he currently sees him as a top 20 pick in the 2022 draft.

While getting to that level was the main reason Agbaji returned to school, winning at the highest level and adding to his already solid legacy as an all-time great Jayhawk are added bonuses that Vecenie believes are in reach.

“(Agbaji) has transformed his game from “good, all-Big-12-level” player to “potential national player of the year candidate” if he keeps up this play,” Vecenie wrote.

Comments

Blake Brown 6 months ago

You're continuing to put out detailed and informative articles Matt. It is much appreciated and serves to keep the Jayhawk nation involved and amped up. Thanks.

Rodney Crain 6 months ago

Matt stop allowing misinformation being spread on this site!

Rodney Crain 6 months ago

Could not happen to two better young men.

Rodney Crain 6 months ago

Matt stop the spread of misinformation on this site.

Dirk Medema 6 months ago

But he can’t … But he doesn’t … But he isn’t …

The preseason just sets the table. Their strong play needs to continue through conference and reach a crescendo in March/April. Others will need to step up as well for the latter to happen, but the potential for all is there. Probably room for one or two more to join the list as well. One guy from Villanova even did it from a 6th man roll a couple years ago (JWil?).

Dirk Medema 6 months ago

How many got drafted/free agent contracts from the 2008 team? 8?

Dirk Medema 6 months ago

Thanks for digging up the info Matt. It’s encouraging to know what pro’s think.

Len Shaffer 6 months ago

Matt, I echo the others in thanking you for yet another great column.

One question, on an admittedly minor issue (but one that annoys anal-retentive people like me): why are there so many issues with extraneous hyphens? It's a little jarring to be reading an interesting article and then have a hyphen show up for no particular reason. I assume it has something to do with transferring your initial writing into the final product, but it would be great if you could fix that. Thanks.

Benjamin Shear 6 months ago

Was going to say the same thing. "ath-leticism" I believe this happens when you copy and paste from one document to another where the formatting is different (like from a PDF to a WYSIWYG editor).

Benjamin Shear 6 months ago

I don't think any of us are surprised by Agbaji. It was clear he had this potential all along. Although it will be telling to see how he preforms in Big 12 play. Braun is the surprise. If you told me a year ago he could be shooting his way into first round draft consideration I would have not believed you.

Steve Zimmerman 6 months ago

Pro or not pro, this place (kusports.com rocks!) is for anyone who believes in Jayhawks to speak their minds. My opinion, Braun will improve - his ceiling is very high. He is driven, he's got guts like a pro... it's no use if one has a pro-ready body, but doesn't have guts to slam jam in traffic. Braun is explosive, it's a key for a pro. His draft stock will increase once he knows how speed up his dribble, take jumpers.. His 3pt is good, but too slow. He's got bounciness but hasn't really used it in carrying the ball. His defense is excellent - see how many steals he's got so far. I really see his potentials, and he's one of those that has desire & fire to better their plays. CB, watch Hinrich videos!

Agbaji, also has improved a lot: 3pt makes, self-shot creation, taking jumpers, but he still thinks too much, not aggressive enough, he is still too slow carrying the ball, not enough variation & techniques in finishing (crossover, hesitation, fakes). Once he improves in those areas, he'll be unstoppable. I hope he'll finish strong this year and keep improving steadily in a hurry. Ochai, watch Pierce videos!

Matt & all the Jayhawks fans; have a wonderful Christmas!

Dirk Medema 6 months ago

Len & Ben - The hyphens were discussed sometime ago, and as I recall it had something to do with going from the software they use for writing the articles to the software that is used for presenting the articles. Removing the hyphens is a manual process that sometimes gets missed in meeting deadlines or just oversight.

Edward Daub 6 months ago

KU's Version of the "Bernie and Ernie" Show at TN. Rock Chalk!

Brian Skelly 6 months ago

Im an theAthletic subscriber and Sam's work is second to none with this stuff.

It's crazy to see how and what NBA scouts look at as opposed to fans.

Ogbaji's move to stay another year -- thanks to the rules allowing him to return to college after going to the NBA Combine -- clearly has paid dividends. Hopefully that will translate into a good draft slot for him.

Im unsurprised by Braun.    He's athletic and has an aggressive approach to almost everything.   Doesn't mean he'd get drafted,  but it would appear at this point if he did decide to pursue professional hoops after college, the opportunities will be there for him.

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