Pick 6: Bets bets for Week 6 of college football
Best bet: Texas (-10.5) at West Virginia
Considering Tom Herman’s history as a favorite compared to an underdog, this might be a surprising answer for best bet. But Texas should be able to handle this one against a West Virginia team that could have easily lost to Kansas just two weeks ago. The Longhorns are averaging 41.8 points per game, and should be able to win by double-digits. If I say it enough, I'll speak it into existence.
Long shot: UMass (+26.5) at Florida International
You might be asking yourself if I have memory loss. I don’t believe so, because I do vividly remember whiffing when I picked UMass as a long shot against Coastal Carolina just two weeks ago. I’m back on the Minutemen, who should be able to stay within four touchdowns against the Panthers. FIU has given up over 30 points per game during its 1-3 start, so even UMass should be able to score enough to cover this lofty spread.
Over of the week: Troy at Missouri (66)
Chip Lindsey, who was supposed to be KU’s offensive coordinator this fall, has Troy’s offense rolling to start 2019. The Trojans are 14th in the nation with an average of 40.8 points per game through their first four outings. Troy is also 14th in the nation in plays per game with an average of 77.8. Missouri, meanwhile, is averaging 80 plays and 38.3 points per game.
Under of the week: Baylor at Kansas State (48.5)
I’ve been monitoring my weather app for KU’s Week 6 matchup with Oklahoma this week, but obviously there will be similar conditions in Manhattan. As windy as it is supposed to be Saturday, I like the under in the game featuring Kansas State and Baylor. It also helps that both programs average less than 70 plays per game, so this should be a slower-paced contest.
Avoiding Auburn (again): Bet Florida (+3) or any number really
Those that have followed this blog over the last few weeks knew this was coming. I’m, once again, fading Bo Nix and company. Admittedly, this hasn’t worked in my favor, especially when he went bonkers last week. But Florida’s defense will be a real test for the true freshman signal caller, and I am actually taking the moneyline for the hosts. Of note, SP+ projects Florida to win by a 28-25 margin.
Some NFL action: Steelers +3.5 at Ravens
As a Ravens fan, this actually pains me. But this might be the best NFL bet of the weekend.
The Steelers are getting more than a field goal at home, and I legitimately think they will win this game. Baltimore’s defense remains a concern after giving up 73 combined points to Cleveland and Kansas City over the last two weeks.
As wildly unpredictable as the NFL is, it is only fitting that the Steelers win this one after people were anointing the Ravens as AFC North champs just two weeks ago. I’m not actually putting money on this game for personal reasons, but I wouldn’t blame anyone for taking the points in this one.
KU Sports staff picks against the spread
Kansas vs. Oklahoma (-34.5)
Matt Tait: Oklahoma
Benton Smith: Kansas
Braden Shaw: Oklahoma
Shane Jackson: Kansas
TCU at Iowa State (-3.5)
Matt Tait: TCU
Benton Smith: Iowa State
Braden Shaw: TCU
Shane Jackson: Iowa State
Central Florida (-4) at Cincinnati
Matt Tait: Cincinnati
Benton Smith: Central Florida
Braden Shaw: Cincinnati
Shane Jackson: Central Florida
Northwestern at Nebraska (-7.5)
Matt Tait: Nebraska
Benton Smith: Nebraska
Braden Shaw: Nebraska
Shane Jackson: Northwestern
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)
Matt Tait: Cowboys
Benton Smith: Packers
Braden Shaw: Packers
Shane Jackson: Packers
Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
Matt Tait: Browns
Benton Smith: 49ers
Braden Shaw: 49ers
Shane Jackson: Browns
Shane Jackson: 17-13 (2-4 in Week 5)
Benton Smith: 16-14 (4-2 in Week 5)
Matt Tait: 14-16 (5-1 in Week 5)
Braden Shaw: 12-18 (2-4 in Week 5)