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Pick 6: Bets bets for Week 9 of college football

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Texas wide receiver Devin Duvernay (6) runs for a touchdown against Kansas during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 19, 2019, in Austin, Texas. (Nick Wagner/Austin American-Statesman via AP)

Texas wide receiver Devin Duvernay (6) runs for a touchdown against Kansas during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 19, 2019, in Austin, Texas. (Nick Wagner/Austin American-Statesman via AP) by Associated Press

Best bet: Texas (-1.5) at TCU

TCU opened as a slight favorite, so I hope you got the early line for better value. I’m still willing to take Texas at this latest line, as the market might be overreacting to a 50-48 win over Kansas last week. The Longhorns might be struggling on defense, but this offense is potent and will make enough plays to win this game.

Long shot: California (+21) at Utah

California (4-3, 1-3 in Pac 12) has dropped three consecutive games, including a 21-17 loss to Oregon State last week. While I don’t think the Bears will win this game, their defense is legit enough to cover a three-touchdown spread. California is giving up just 18.7 points per game this season, and the total for this game is set at 36.5 points.

Over of the week: Wisconsin at Ohio State (49.5)

Playing an over in a Big 10 contest can be a dangerous game, but this total is a bit too low for me. Wisconsin (6-1) has a strong defense, but Ohio State (7-0) quarterback Justin Fields is leading an offense that averages 49.7 points per game. He has 30 touchdowns and only one turnover this year. Give me the over in this one.

Under of the week: Oklahoma State at Iowa State (63.5)

My pick for this game is below, but I feel more confident in the under. Much like my over pick, playing an under in a Big 12 game can be a silly suggestion. But ISU’s defense has been playing much better as of late. In Big 12 play, Iowa State is giving up just 21.3 points per game. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is averaging 29.5 points per game in league play.

NFL action: Seahawks (-7) at Atlanta Falcons

I’d like this line a lot more if it was closer to the opening line of 5.5 points, but you couldn’t pay me enough to bet on the Falcons. Atlanta’s pass defense is really bad, and Russell Wilson will be able to get back on track this week after making some mistakes in a wet loss to the Ravens.

Notable nugget: Fading KU as a slight underdog has been smart

Instead of a sixth bet suggestion, I’m including a relevant piece of information about this week’s game. Kansas is 3-0 against the spread this season as a three-touchdown underdog or more, which includes last week’s narrow loss at Texas. When the line is two touchdowns or less, however, KU is actually 0-4 ATS. But you can see if our crew believes in this trend in our picks below.

KU sports staff picks against the spread

Lines via FanDuel's Sportsbook as of Tuesday afternoon. Sign up today using this special promotion.

Kansas vs. Texas Tech (-3)

Matt Tait: Kansas

Benton Smith: Kansas

Braden Shaw: Kansas

Shane Jackson: Kansas

Auburn at LSU (-10.5)

Matt Tait: LSU

Benton Smith: LSU

Braden Shaw: LSU

Shane Jackson: LSU

Oklahoma State at Iowa State (-10.5)

Matt Tait: Iowa State

Benton Smith: Oklahoma State

Braden Shaw: Oklahoma State

Shane Jackson: Iowa State

Notre Dame at Michigan (-1)

Matt Tait: Michigan

Benton Smith: Notre Dame

Braden Shaw: Notre Dame

Shane Jackson: Michigan

Denver Broncos (+6) at Indianapolis Colts

Matt Tait: Colts

Benton Smith: Colts

Braden Shaw: Colts

Shane Jackson: Broncos

Green Bay Packers (-4) at Kansas City Chiefs

Matt Tait: Packers

Benton Smith: Packers

Braden Shaw: Packers

Shane Jackson: Chiefs

Season standings

Shane Jackson: 27-21 (4-2 in Week 8)

Benton Smith: 23-25 (1-5 in Week 8)

Matt Tait: 22-26 (4-2 in Week 8)

Braden Shaw: 17-31 (1-5 in Week 8)

Comments

Dirk Medema 3 weeks, 5 days ago

Shane - congratulations on leading the standings though I’m not sure it’s saying much when you’re the only one better than a coin flip?

Shane Jackson 3 weeks, 5 days ago

Haha you have a fair point. I'll always take being at least 55% ATS though, especially since we include the NFL every week and that is the toughest sport to bet on.

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