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Pick 6: Best bets for Week 8 of college football

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Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs up the sideline as Kansas safety Davon Ferguson (7) closes in during the second quarter on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2019 at Memorial Stadium.

Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs up the sideline as Kansas safety Davon Ferguson (7) closes in during the second quarter on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2019 at Memorial Stadium. by Nick Krug

Best bet: Washington (+3) vs. Oregon

Oregon has won five games in a row, but I’m still surprised that Washington is getting three points at home. The Huskies are averaging 36.4 points per game, while running back Salvon Ahmed is averaging 5.8 yards per carry this season. Both Oregon and Washington have struggled on third down, so that could prove to be the difference in this game.

Long shot: Tennessee (+34.5) at Alabama

Tennessee coach Jeremy Pruitt joked this week about going for it on fourth down in order to make things interesting. I’m a fan of the Volunteers being more aggressive in an attempt to cover this lofty spread. Alabama is just 2-2 ATS with spreads of 30 points or more this season, and there are not many options for a long shot bet this week.

Betting a favorite: LSU (-17.5) at Mississippi State

This one is pretty simple: LSU is good, Mississippi State is not. The Tigers could be in for a letdown performance, but I refuse to believe this game won’t be a 20-point blowout. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is coming off a 293-yard performance against Florida, so it seems unlikely that Mississippi State will slow him down.

Over of the week: Saints at Bears (38.5)

This isn’t a good college weekend, so I’m dipping into the NFL pool for my over. The idea behind the low point total makes sense, as this game features two really good defenses. I’m banking on the fact that this isn’t a division game, so there should be less familiarity between these two opponents.

Under of the week: Boise State at BYU (47)

The under is 6-2 in the past eight meetings in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. Boise State quarterback Hank Bachmeier (hip) likely won’t be able to go, meaning sophomore Chase Cord will get his first start. BYU’s quarterback Jaren Hall is also working his way back from concussion symptoms.

NFL action: Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Bengals are 0-6, but four losses have come in one-score games. Cincinnati has also played four games away from home, meaning it hasn’t been the easiest schedule to start. Jacksonville is averaging just 19.5 points per game, and I don’t expect this team to score enough to pull completely away.

KU sports staff picks against the spread

Lines via FanDuel's Sportsbook as of Tuesday afternoon. Sign up today using this special promotion.

Kansas at Texas (-21.5)

Matt Tait: Kansas

Benton Smith: Kansas

Braden Shaw: Texas

Shane Jackson: Kansas

Michigan at Penn State (-9)

Matt Tait: Penn State

Benton Smith: Penn State

Braden Shaw: Michigan

Shane Jackson: Penn State

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-3.5)

Matt Tait: Oklahoma State

Benton Smith: Oklahoma State

Braden Shaw: Oklahoma State

Shane Jackson: Baylor

Arizona State at Utah (-13.5)

Matt Tait: Utah

Benton Smith: Arizona State

Braden Shaw: Arizona State

Shane Jackson: Arizona State

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

Matt Tait: Ravens

Benton Smith: Seahawks

Braden Shaw: Seahawks

Shane Jackson: Ravens

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Matt Tait: Cowboys

Benton Smith: Eagles

Braden Shaw: Eagles

Shane Jackson: Cowboys

Season standings

Shane Jackson: 23-19 (2-4 in Week 7)

Benton Smith: 22-20 (2-4 in Week 7)

Matt Tait: 18-24 (3-3 in Week 7)

Braden Shaw: 16-26 (1-5 in Week 7)

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