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Pick 6: Best bets for Week 10 of college football

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Kansas wide receiver Daylon Charlot (2) is hit by Kansas State linebacker Justin Hughes (32) after a catch during the second quarter on Saturday, Nov. 10, 2018 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kan.

Kansas wide receiver Daylon Charlot (2) is hit by Kansas State linebacker Justin Hughes (32) after a catch during the second quarter on Saturday, Nov. 10, 2018 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kan. by Nick Krug

Best bet: Memphis (-6) vs. SMU

It is not often that an undefeated team is getting six points this late in the season, but it is probably the right call. Memphis is 23rd in total yards per game with 470.6 yards per contest, while ranking 10th in the country with an average of 39.5 points per game. SMU has been pretty fortunate over the last few weeks, so I’m banking on that luck running out here.

Long shot: Maryland (+21) vs. Michigan

These two teams are going in different directions. Maryland is 1-5 over its last six games, while Michigan is coming off a 45-14 win over Notre Dame. But it wouldn’t surprise me if the Wolverines are a little flat in this one, and Maryland is able to stay within three touchdowns thanks to a few players coming back from injuries.

Under of the week: Total points for Army at Air Force (45.5)

Not much to say here because it has become so obvious to bet the under in games between service academies. Since the 2005 season the under has gone 33-9-1 in such occasions. Follow the trend, bet the under on 45.5 total points for this game.

Over of the week: Total points for Nebraska at Purdue (58)

Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez says he is ready to go, and that’s all I needed to hear to bet the over on the total score. Purdue receiver Rondale Moore might also come back this week, which would provide a big boost to a depleted roster.

Underdog to trust: Miami (+3) at Florida State

Miami is coming off a 16-12 win against Pittsburgh, so can this team do it two weeks in a row? This defense is good enough to get the job done, as the Hurricanes are giving up just 19.4 points and 301.2 yards per game. Florida State, meanwhile, is allowing 29 points and 444.2 yards per game. Give me Miami to win this thing outright.

Sunflower Showdown action: Over 24 points for Kansas (Line via FanDuel)

My pick for this game is below, but this might be the easiest bet of the week. It is hard to imagine KU’s offense, with Brent Dearmon calling the plays, not scoring at least 24 points. I’ve wrote this week about how the total numbers for Kansas State’s defense might be misleading, so I fully expect Kansas to move the ball this weekend.

KU sports staff picks against the spread

Lines via FanDuel's Sportsbook as of Tuesday afternoon. Sign up today using this special promotion.

Kansas vs. Kansas State (-5)

Matt Tait: Kansas

Benton Smith: Kansas State

Braden Shaw: Kansas

Shane Jackson: Kansas

TCU at Oklahoma State (-3)

Matt Tait: TCU

Benton Smith: Oklahoma State

Braden Shaw: TCU

Shane Jackson: TCU

Boston College at Syracuse (-3)

Matt Tait: Syracuse

Benton Smith: Syracuse

Braden Shaw: Syracuse

Shane Jackson: Boston College

Georgia (-6) at Florida

Matt Tait: Georgia

Benton Smith: Georgia

Braden Shaw: Florida

Shane Jackson: Florida

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) at Kansas City Chiefs

Matt Tait: Vikings

Benton Smith: Vikings

Braden Shaw: Chiefs

Shane Jackson: Chiefs

New England Patriots (-3.5) at Baltimore Ravens

Matt Tait: Ravens

Benton Smith: Patriots

Braden Shaw: Ravens

Shane Jackson: Ravens

Season standings

Shane Jackson: 30-24 (3-3 in Week 9)

Benton Smith: 26-28 (3-3 in Week 9)

Matt Tait: 25-29 (3-3 in Week 9)

Braden Shaw: 20-34 (3-3 in Week 9)

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