Here is a look at my top 25 for the week of 1/21:
The AP and coaches polls are due out today and tomorrow, yet they should not be drastically different. At least, notably, in one respect: the Big 12 is a weak basketball conference in '12-'13. I look for Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Baylor, and Oklahoma State to all make the tournament, but the latter half of those teams, respectively, are not really resume builders. The Big 12 has just 2 teams in the top 25 and that really shouldn't change all the much during the course of the rest of the season. Yet conference foes are all Kansas has on its slate prior to Selection Sunday.
Basically, then, Kansas can't drop two or more games to its opponents if it hopes to retain a number one seed for the tournament. The counter-logic to this is that several other conferences are better represented among the top teams in the country, and they will be passing losses back and forth to each other, which is true to a certain extent. In a numbers game, Kansas seems to have the upper hand. The problem is that in the event of a Kansas loss in the Big 12, it is a worse loss than in, for example, the Big East or the Big 10. Kansas has the personnel to make the run to another conference title, but positioning itself for a number one seed means few hiccups between now and early March. Defeating Kansas State on 1/22 at Bramlage would bode very well.
Other big tests are at Iowa on February 25, and at Baylor on March 9.