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Friday, November 22, 2019

Game Day Breakdown - KU football at Iowa State

Kansas running back Pooka Williams Jr. (1) carries past Oklahoma State defensive end Brock Martin (40) in the first half of an NCAA college football game in Stillwater, Okla., Saturday, Nov. 16, 2019. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)

Kansas running back Pooka Williams Jr. (1) carries past Oklahoma State defensive end Brock Martin (40) in the first half of an NCAA college football game in Stillwater, Okla., Saturday, Nov. 16, 2019. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)

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— Kansas (3-7 overall, 1-6 Big 12) at Iowa State (6-4, 4-3) • 11 a.m. kickoff, Jack Trice Stadium • Game-time forecast: 38 degrees, mostly sunny, 0% chance of rain • TV: FOX Sports Network • Radio: KLWN, FM 101.7 / AM 1320

— Log on to KUsports.com for our live coverage and follow our team on Twitter: @KUSports, @BentonASmith and @SJacksonLJW

Keys for Kansas

1. Rediscover your run game

Hey, remember that Pooka Williams guy?

Of course the Jayhawks do. The problem is the offense has performed so poorly lately that KU hasn’t had much luck featuring its most versatile skill player.

“We didn't necessarily execute what we needed to do up front to have success,” KU head coach Les Miles said this week, when asked what led to a 12-carry, 26-yard day for the preseason All-Big 12 back in a loss at Oklahoma State.

Pretty much nothing worked offensively for the first three quarters of KU’s second loss in a row, with Williams’ 2.2 yards per carry one of many concerns.

KU’s offensive line encountered issues from all angles against various creative fronts from the OSU defense. Senior left tackle Hakeem Adeniji said the Cowboys’ blitzes and slants allowed them to disrupt KU’s rushing attack.

“We could never get that going,” Adeniji said in reference to KU’s season-low 39 rushing yards at OSU.

The Cowboys, according to Adeniji, kept “imposing their will defensively” as KU offensive linemen failed to execute on the checks they have in place to handle pressure from outside.

“We’ve got to get the run game back on track,” Adeniji stressed. “If we can do that, then everything else will open up. But that’s where it starts, and it starts with the offensive line.”

Williams, who is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and has rushed for 100-plus yards three times this season (and 99 in his sophomore debut), appeared disappointed at OSU. He wasn’t the only one.

“I was frustrated for him, that we couldn't get him going,” said senior quarterback Carter Stanley. “And that's just everyone involved. We’ve all got to do our part to get a special player like him going in games like that, so it was frustrating. But he's got a short-term memory and he’ll bounce back.”

Iowa State ranks 25th nationally in rushing defense (121 yards per game allowed) and is giving up 3.59 yards per carry (32nd).

2. Find some consistency on offense

In back-to-back losses to Kansas State and Oklahoma State, the KU offense has traveled fewer than 10 yards on 12 separate drives. They scored just three touchdowns combined in the defeats.

Since offensive coordinator Brent Dearmon took over at the midway point of the season, the Jayhawks have emphasized the offense typically thrives when it plays with tempo. But picking up the pace doesn’t do you much good if you’re punting far more often than you’re extending drives.

Miles didn’t call out the offense’s effort after the OSU loss. Rather, the head coach pointed to perhaps the Jayhawks’ most obvious flaw.

“I think that if we continue to pursue what we're doing, I think we'll be fine,” Miles said. “It's just that it's consistency's the issue.”

KU’s 18.5 first downs per game rank 104th in the nation.

“You have to get into a rhythm to be able to go tempo,” Adeniji said of one critical hitch to KU’s ideal game plan. “You have to start better offensively to go into that tempo.”

The senior offensive lineman said stringing together explosive and efficient plays will allow the Jayhawks to find that elusive sweet spot.

“I think we know what to do,” Miles said. “We just need to do it and do it and get our tempo back. To me, we have had tempo in that practice facility, we have had tempo in several key games, and at times it looks like we're just an unstoppable team. That's the kind of tempo and that's the kind of consistency that I would like to have.”

3. Don’t overlook surging Hall

The name Breece Hall isn’t one that’s well known outside of Ames, Iowa. But the way the ISU freshman running back is playing lately, most Big 12 fan bases will remember it by the end of this season.

A 6-1, 205-pound true freshman from Wichita Northwest, Hall began to take off in October after playing a lesser role in the first five weeks. Then came Hall’s breakout game against West Virginia, when he ran for 132 yards and three touchdowns.

Big 12 defenses haven’t been able to shut him down since. In Iowa State’s past five games, Hall is averaging 120.4 yards a game — the fifth-best mark in the country in that span among Power Five backs — and 5.7 yards per carry, with seven rushing touchdowns.

Hall put up 256 all-purpose yards, the second-best total by a FBS freshman this year, against Texas Tech. Already Hall has rushed for 100-plus yards against WVU, Tech (183), Oklahoma (110) and Texas (101).

And, as you likely know by now, KU’s rush defense is among the worst in the country. The Jayhawks are allowing 232.7 yards per game on the ground (125th out of 130 teams). Opponents are running the ball 46.9 times per game (127th). And KU foes are averaging 4.96 yards per carry (107th).

Mega Matchup

Iowa State quarterback Brock Purdy (15) loses a Kansas defender on a run during the third quarter, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2018 at Memorial Stadium.

Iowa State quarterback Brock Purdy (15) loses a Kansas defender on a run during the third quarter, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2018 at Memorial Stadium. by Nick Krug

KU defense vs. ISU QB Brock Purdy

What do Ohio State’s Justin Fields, Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence and Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts all have in common?

For one, they’re among the only players in the country who have passed for at least 22 touchdowns and rushed for at least seven. The other QB who can lay claim to those numbers is Iowa State’s Brock Purdy.

The 6-1, 210-pound sophomore does it with his arm and his legs, and is the latest mobile QB looking to give the KU defense fits.

From Hurts, to the Longhorns’ Sam Ehlinger, to K-State’s Skylar Thompson, to Oklahoma State’s Spencer Sanders — even Tech’s Jett Duffey — quarterbacks who can move have found space to run and/or scramble and throw effectively versus KU.

Purdy, who has twice this year finished with six total touchdowns (against Louisiana-Monroe and Oklahoma), will look to keep the Jayhawks out of sorts.

The Cyclones’ offense has pulled that off against most teams. ISU heads into its home finale in Year 4 under head coach Matt Campbell ranked eighth nationally in passing offense (326.3 yards per game), 12th in yards per snap (6.77), 14th in total offense (477.9 yards per game) and 24th in scoring (35.1 points per game).

Purdy’s targets have made that possible, as the Cyclones are one of 10 teams nationwide that can boast three players with 40 or more catches this season: senior receiver Deshaunte Jones (63), senior receiver La’Michael Pettway (42) and sophomore tight end Charlie Kolar (41).

Sophomore Tarique Milton, meanwhile, averages 21.1 yards per reception on his 29 catches.

Jayhawk Pulse

For weeks, the Jayhawks refused to rule out a bowl berth, but their postseason dreams were officially dashed at OSU in their seventh loss of the season.

With that motivating factor gone, KU’s leaders insist the week’s final two games still feel very important to them.

“I mean, it is tough. It stinks,” Stanley said of being eliminated from bowl contention. “But if you still look at it there hasn't been a football team here that's won four or five games in 10 years, I think.”

Indeed, KU last won more than three games in 2009, Mark Mangino’s final year, when the Jayhawks went 5-7.

“So that's at this point what our goal is,” Stanley said of potentially giving KU its best record since. “Just to make our mark on this place, this senior class at least. To make our mark and finish it better than what we found it.”

Tale of the Tape

KU ….. ISU

KU run D vs. ISU run game √

KU pass D vs. ISU pass game √

KU run game vs. ISU run D √

√ KU pass game vs. ISU pass D

√ Special teams

Prediction

ISU 38, KU 20

Comments

Al Martin 1 week, 5 days ago

This is a disciplined team like K State that will be focused totally on us. No way we score 20. I'd be delighted to be wrong.

Dane Pratt 1 week, 5 days ago

They'll get two field goals in the first half and after the game is beyond winning they'll get a couple of pointless TD's late in the fourth quarter.

Al Martin 1 week, 4 days ago

Shows you what I know. So let me go on record as saying that there's no way we score 40 on Baylor next week :-).

Dale Rogers 1 week, 5 days ago

Let Dearmon call the offensive plays the entire game and see what happens. What is there to lose at this point?

Robert Brown 1 week, 5 days ago

Are KU's special teams really better than ISU's?

Dirk Medema 1 week, 5 days ago

Has Dearmon not been calling the plays since he was promoted?

To say that we need to establish the run game seems misguided. When we first started having O success in the middle of the season (and at BC) the commentary from the team was that the offense was doing the opposite of what the opponent was setting up to defend. At this point, aren’t D stacking the box daring us to beat them through the air? The effective counter is for Carter to complete 70% of his attempts for 5-10 yds per catch. If that happens then D’s will have to move defenders into coverage and create space for Pooka, etc.

I don’t have high expectations for stopping ISU. I’m more concerned about whether we can move the ball.

Dane Pratt 1 week, 5 days ago

Will Matt Campbell will be in Ames next year? The Cyclones have lost 3 games by a combined 4 points and their biggest loss was to the Cowboys by a TD. Were it not for a botched pass interference call against Oklahoma they could be in line for the conference title game.

Micky Baker 1 week, 5 days ago

The keys for KU having any chance of winning this game:

  1. Score on the first drive
  2. Limit 20 yard plus plays by ISU
  3. Pooka has to go for at least 125 yards on 20 or more carries
  4. Get 4 or 5 yards on first down
  5. 3rd down stops. Limit Iowa State to 40% or less on 3rd downs.
  6. Force 2 or more turnovers and turn them into at least 10 points.

If these things don't happen, we won't win unless Carter goes for 400 plus yards without an INT and Pooka goes for 200 yards, then it will be a matter of who scores the most.

It's not easy. We decimated at linebacker and the secondary due to injuries. But the guys are going to have to overcome that if they're going to have a chance and the offense needs to score at least 35 today and have possession for at least 35 to 40 minutes. I would say we win this game 1/10 times at this time. In two years, if we get the right personnel on defense in particular, I'd say we win this game 9/10 times.

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