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Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Early report card: Big 12 separates itself from Pac-10

Texas guard A.J. Abrams, right, dribbles against the defense of Texas State guard Brent Benson, left, during the first half of an NCAA  college men's basketball game Saturday, Dec. 13, 2008, in Austin, Texas. Abrams' game-high 30 points helped the Longhorns to an 81-73 victory.

Texas guard A.J. Abrams, right, dribbles against the defense of Texas State guard Brent Benson, left, during the first half of an NCAA college men's basketball game Saturday, Dec. 13, 2008, in Austin, Texas. Abrams' game-high 30 points helped the Longhorns to an 81-73 victory.

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Signature wins

Here are the Big 12's biggest victories so far this winter:

1. Texas 68, UCLA 64 (UCLA now No. 14)

2. Texas 67, Villanova 58 (Villanova now No. 18)

3. Baylor 87, Arizona State 78 (Arizona St. now No. 20)

4. Oklahoma 82, Davidson 78 (Davidson now No. 22)

5. Texas A&M; 67, Arizona 66 (Arizona now unranked, but 7-2)

If the Big 12 had a signature victory roughly one month into the college basketball season, it’d likely be Texas 68, UCLA 64, on Dec. 4.

A nice victory for the conference over a Pac-10 powerhouse that routinely makes a run in the NCAA Tournament under coach Ben Howland.

Turns out the Big 12 has the Pac-10’s number this season. The two conferences have squared off in 15 games, and the Big 12 has earned victories in 10 of them.

For now, head-to-head is one of only a few ways to compare the Big 12 to other major conferences.

Other ways to compare: top 25 rankings, RPI, how many teams each conference sends to the NCAA Tournament and each conference’s showing at the NCAA Tournament. Obviously, the latter two comparisons won’t be made until March. But here’s what we know:

Head-to-head

The Big 12 is 2-3 against the Big East, 1-3 against the Big Ten, 2-1 against the SEC and 0-1 against the ACC. Not too many games.

A 10-5 record against the Pac-10 is more of a statement, though. Especially when you consider the Big 12 has already defeated most of the upper-echelon teams in the Pac-10 (UCLA, Arizona State, Arizona, USC, Washington State).

Arizona State, for instance, is ranked No. 20 after a solid 8-1 start. The Sun Devils’ only loss this season came on Nov. 28 against Baylor in Anaheim, Calif. in the 76 Classic.

Top 25 rankings

Here are all the major conferences and how many teams they have ranked in the top 25: Big East—8, ACC—4, Big 12—3, Big Ten—3, Pac-10—2, SEC—1. Make what you will of that.

RPI

College basketball’s Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) is another ratings system used to evaluate teams. The RPI calculates a team’s winning percentage (25 percent), its opponents’ winning percentage (50 percent), and the winning percentage of those opponents’ opponents (25 percent).

Through Monday’s games, the Big 12 had the fourth-best showing in the RPI’s conference standings. The Big Ten was first, followed by the ACC and Big East.

Five Big 12 teams rank in the top 15 of the RPI (Missouri at 9, Oklahoma 10, Texas 12, Baylor 14 and Kansas 15).

It looks like the Big 12 is the third or fourth best conference in the nation, according to the stats — for now. Come March, it could be a completely different story.

Comments

patton6 11 years, 9 months ago

Even now, fourth wouldn't make much sense. The Big East is clearly the best, then probably the ACC, but you'd have a tough time convincing me the Big XII is any lower than third. I'm not sure what the Big Eleven's argument would even be? Good post though - always appreciate this kind of analysis.

Eric Sorrentino 11 years, 9 months ago

Hey patton, always nice hearing from you. I'd go with third as well. I think the Big Eleven, as you called it, is first on the RPI because Michigan State has played North Carolina and then Michigan twice has faced Duke and Purdue has faced the Blue Devils as well. But yeah, I definitely think the Big 12 is better than the Big Ten....or Eleven.No argument here on the Big East being the top conference in the nation. Eight ranked teams, including 2, 3, 9, 11, 12 and 15....yikes.

rcaltrider 11 years, 9 months ago

The Big 10's argument would be that Ohio State has beaten a ranked Miami team and a top 10 Notre Dame team on the road. They also beat a previously undefeated Butler team. Michigan has defeated UCLA and Duke and the conference is 6-7 vs the ACC. The top of the conference is not quite elite but it is a pretty deep conference with a lot of good teams. The only real bad team is Indiana. I'm not trying to be a cheerleader for the Big 10, but you asked what the Big 10's argument would be so I'm giving it. I actually like to see both conferences do well (I'm a Buckeye fan and a Jayhawk fan) and I'm not trying to say one conference is better than the other because I think an argument could be made for either one. I would actually like to see a Big 10-Big 12 Challenge

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